The Green Papers
Presidential Primaries 2024
Democratic Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary

Disclaimer:
These pages contain a combination of official, unofficial, and estimated data. The information posted here is subject to change and will be updated as official information becomes available.

The delegate selection processes herein, along with any and all dates and delegate counts associated therewith, are unofficial and based on either (1) information obtained from either Major Party, (2) Presidential Primary dates established by currently-effective State statute, or- where the foregoing information could not be obtained- (3) the state's 2020 delegate selection process and associated dates adjusted to the corresponding dates in 2024.

Democrats

  • The Democratic National Committee Rules and Bylaws Committee's 2 December 2022 recommendations for the "pre-window" dates have been used. Iowa is arbitrarily assigned a date of March 2024 for the time being.
  • Delegate counts reflect the DNC's 2024 Delegate Allocation document of 8 August 2022.
  • Democratic pledged delegate counts are determined by the jurisdiction's Presidential vote in 2012, 2016, and 2020; along with the jurisdiction's number of electors in 2024.
  • Democratic unpledged delegate counts are determined by the number of DNC Members, Democratic Governors, Democratic U.S. House members, and Democratic U.S. Senators serving at the time of the convention. The count for DNC Members, Distinguished Party Leaders is from the 2020 Convention. The tallies of Governors, Democratic U.S. House members, and Democratic U.S. Senators are the current officeholders.
  • Democratic Bonus Delegates and penalties are preliminary.

Republicans

  • Republican delegate counts are based on the number of Republicans elected to the State Legislatures, Governors chairs, U.S. House seats, and U.S. Senators seats through 31 December 2023. Republican unpledged delegate counts are determined by state (or equivalent) party rules. We have assumed that the policies of 2020 will apply in 2024.
  • The Republican district delegate count is based on the number of U.S. House members each state will elect in 2024.
  • Republican penalties for violating the timing window are not included in these delegate tallies.

 
Democratic Party Democratic
Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary
Sorted by first date

 
4,525 total delegate votes - 2,438 district / 842 at large; 490 Pledged PLEOs; 755 Unpledged PLEOs
Pledged/Unpledged delegate votes: 3,770 pledged, 755 unpledged.
Need to nominate: 2,263.
Rank (sort)
Date
(sort)
State
(available) Allocation
(sort)
Hard
4,525
(sort)
Soft
4,525.0
(sort)
Pl
(sort)
Unpl
(sort)
Total
463 FebSouth Carolina6464.055964
326 FebNevada5050.0361450
336 FebNew Hampshire3333.0231033
1313 FebGeorgia124124.010816124
2627 FebMichigan139139.011722139
19MarIowa4646.040646
15 MarAlabama5959.052759
35 MarAmerican Samoa1111.06511
55 MarArkansas3737.031637
65 MarCalifornia496496.042472496
75 MarColorado8787.0721587
105 MarDemocrats Abroad1717.013417
235 MarMaine3333.024933
255 MarMassachusetts117117.09225117
275 MarMinnesota9393.0751893
375 MarNorth Carolina132132.011616132
415 MarOklahoma4040.036440
485 MarTennessee7070.063770
495 MarTexas275275.024431275
515 MarUtah3434.030434
525 MarVermont2525.016925
545 MarVirginia119119.09920119
399 MarNorthern Marianas1010.06410
1612 MarIdaho2424.020424
2812 MarMississippi4040.035540
2912 MarMissouri7171.064771
3812 MarNorth Dakota1717.013417
5512 MarWashington111111.09219111
419 MarArizona8686.0721486
1219 MarFlorida251251.022427251
1719 MarIllinois177177.014730177
4019 MarOhio143143.012716143
2223 MarLouisiana5454.048654
4431 MarPuerto Rico5656.051556
572 AprWisconsin8787.0751287
26 AprAlaska1919.014519
156 AprHawaii3131.022931
586 AprWyoming1616.012416
923 AprDelaware3434.0171734
2423 AprMaryland103103.08122103
4323 AprPennsylvania174174.014628174
4523 AprRhode Island2929.021829
830 AprConnecticut6363.0491463
3630 AprNew York259259.022039259
144 MayGuam1313.06713
204 MayKansas3939.033639
187 MayIndiana7676.067976
567 MayWest Virginia2525.020525
3114 MayNebraska2929.025429
2121 MayKentucky5151.045651
4221 MayOregon6868.0561268
114 JunDistrict of Columbia4545.0172845
304 JunMontana2222.017522
344 JunNew Jersey127127.010720127
354 JunNew Mexico4141.0291241
474 JunSouth Dakota1919.014519
538 JunVirgin Islands1212.06612
50JulUnassigned22.0 22
Convention4,5254,525.03,7707554,525
Rank Date State HardSoft PlUnplTotal
(available) Allocation
 

Soft: Soft count, estimated delegate preferences prior to the convention.
Hard: Hard count, the preference as originally assigned. (Note: unpledged delegates are hard counted as "Uncommitted".)
Pl: Pledged or Bound Delegates.
Unpl: Unpledged or Not Bound Delegates

 
 


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  Chronological Cumulative Allocation of Delegates  
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Delegate Counts
  Democratic Pledged and Unpledged Summary   --   Republican Pledged and Unpledged Summary  
  Democratic Hard and Soft Summary   --   Republican Hard and Soft Summary  
 
Delegate Allocation
  Democratic Quick Reference   --   Republican Quick Reference  
  The Math Behind the Democratic Delegate Allocation   --   The Math Behind the Republican Delegate Allocation  
  Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses   --   Republican Timing Penalties  
 
  Democratic Delegate Pledging and Voter Eligibility   --   Republican Delegate Binding and Voter Eligibility  
 
  Primaries at a Glance  
 
  Results Status and Date Retreived  
....
  Estimating the Delegate Count  
....

 
Documentation
  Historical Analysis of the Presidential Nominating Process  
  Historical Analysis of the apportionment of delegate votes at the National Conventions of the two major parties  
  Primary/Caucus/Convention Glossary  
  Statutory Election Information of the Several states / Presidential Primary  
  Dates of PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES re: selection and/or allocation/distribution of Delegates to Major Party National Conventions  
 
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