|The Green Papers|
2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions
Presidential Nominating Process
Debate - CNN - Nevada: Tuesday 13 October 2015
Debate - CBS/KCCI/Des Moines Register - Des Moines, Iowa: Saturday 14 November 2015
Debate - ABC/WMUR - Manchester, New Hampshire: Saturday 19 December 2015
Debate - NBC/Congressional Black Caucus Institute - Charleston, South Carolina: Sunday 17 January 2016
Debate - Univision/Washington Post - Miami, Florida: February - March 2016 (presumably)
Debate - PBS - Wisconsin: Monday 1 February - Thursday 31 March 2016 (presumably)
Automatic selection of unpledged delegates: Tuesday 1 March 2016
47th Democratic National Convention: Monday 25 July - Thursday 28 July 2016
4,763 total delegate votes - 2,650 district / 910 at large; 491 Pledged PLEOs; 712 Unpledged PLEOs
(scattering) = Blank, Blank Ballots, Blank Votes, Others, Over votes, Referred to Special Committee, Scattering, Spoiled, Spoiled ballots, Under votes, Void, Void Ballots, Write-in.
Popular vote total includes AK, AL, AR, AS, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DA, DC, DE, FL, GA, GU, HI, ID, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MN, MO, MP, MS, MT, NC, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OH, OK, OR, PA, PR, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VI, VT, WI, WV, WY and excludes IA, ME, ND, NV, WA. No popular vote for UN.
States Chronologically States Alphabetically
24 November 2014: 2016 Democratic National Convention host finalists announced-- Philadelphia, New York, and Columbus.
20 January 2015: Media reports state that the Democratic National Convention will begin either 25 July or 22 August 2016.
On 23 January 2015, the Democratic National Committee announced that the 47th Democratic National Convention would be held from Monday 25 July through Thursday 28 July 2016.
On 12 February 2015, the Democratic National Committee announced that the National Convention would be held in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Tuesday 13 October 2015: Debate - CNN - Nevada (announced 6 August 2015). Democratic Party Presidential Debate televised on CNN from Las Vegas. 8:30 PM Eastern Time [0100 GMT]: The following Democratic presidential contenders debate among themselves for two and a half hours:
This Prime Time debate will be broadcast 'live' via CNN
Alas! (as well as finally)-- it is now time to discuss the various and sundry contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. Yes, dear reader, in case you might well have forgotten by now (and- given how so much of the media has, so far, covered all this- you can't be at all blamed if you might have!), there are actually two Major Parties here in the United States of America and both of them will nominate candidates for President of the ....
Saturday 14 November 2015: Debate - CBS/KCCI/Des Moines Register – Des Moines, Iowa (announced 6 August 2015).
9 PM Eastern Time [0200 GMT, 15 Nov]-- The following Democratic presidential contenders debate among themselves for two hours:
This Prime Time debate will be broadcast 'live' via CBS
Saturday 19 December 2015: Debate - ABC/WMUR – Manchester, New Hampshire (announced 6 August 2015).
8 PM Eastern Time [0100 GMT, 20 Dec]-- The following Democratic presidential contenders debate among themselves:
This Prime Time debate will be broadcast 'live' via ABC
Sunday 17 January 2016: Debate - NBC/Congressional Black Caucus Institute – Charleston, South Carolina (announced 6 August 2015).
February - March 2016 (presumably): Debate - Univision/Washington Post – Miami, Floria (announced 6 August 2015).
Monday 1 February - Thursday 31 March 2016 (presumably): Debate - PBS – Wisconsin (announced 6 August 2015).
Tuesday 1 March 2016: Automatic Assignment of 712 Unpledged Delegates.
The unpledged party leader and elected official delegates are assigned automatically by virtue of respective public or Party office as provided in Rule 9.A. of the 2016 Delegate Selection Rules.
Monday 25 July - Thursday 28 July 2016: 47th Democratic National Convention, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. On 23 January 2015, the DNC announced that the Convention will be from 25 to 28 July 2016.
The 47th DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION will have a total of 4,763 delegate votes, with 2,382 (a majority) necessary in order for a Presidential or Vice-Presidential candidate to be nominated.
"The rules for the 2016 Democratic National Convention call for the following formula to be used in determining the allocation of delegate votes to each state and jurisdiction sending a delegation to the Convention:
Each state plus the District of Columbia is to be assigned a number of Base delegate votes based on an "Allocation Factor" multiplied by 3,200 (the optimum minimum size of a Democratic National Convention as determined by the Democratic National Committee): a state's (or D.C.'s) "Allocation Factor" being a decimal fraction arrived at through a calculation involving the following factors-
The formula for determining a given state's (or D.C.'s) "Allocation Factor" [AF] is:
[2016 Call for the Democratic Convention I.B.]
The number of Base delegate votes assigned to a state is AF × 3,200. Of these Base delegate votes, 75% are assigned to be district delegate votes and the remaining 25% are to be at-large delegate votes. In addition to these Base delegate votes, the state (and D.C.) are awarded a number of Pledged "Party Leaders and Elected Officials" [PLEOs] equal to 15% of the number of Base delegate votes as determined by the "Allocation Factor" × 3,200 formula described above. [Reference: 2016 Delegate Selection Rules for the Democratic National Convention: Rule 8. C.]
There are also delegate votes from U.S. dependencies which do not cast Electoral Votes for President in a General Election. PUERTO RICO is considered, for purposes of the Convention, to have a Base delegate vote of 44; the special case of the other dependencies sending delegations to the Democratic National Convention will be considered below. These delegate votes described so far (making up a number equal to 115% of the total Base delegate votes as determined by the "Allocation Factor" × 3,200) are pledged, prior to the first meeting of the Convention, to the support of a presidential contender who earns the support of such delegate votes by virtue of his performance as measured by the votes cast by Democratic voters in primaries and caucuses and/or by Democratic delegates to state and/or sub-state conventions held in each state prior to the Convention.
The states (and D.C.) are also assigned a number of "Unpledged" delegates:
"Unpledged PLEOs" consisting of the following:
These "Unpledged" delegates go to the Convention officially "Unpledged" (that is, not committed- ahead of time- to vote for any particular presidential contender), though it is well known that many- if not most- of these may very well be privately supporting a presidential contender. The number of these "Unpledged" delegates to the Democratic National Convention is subject to change up to the first meeting of the Convention due to deaths, resignations from office (for those PLEOs who hold an elective office) or accession- by a Democrat- to an elective office through an intervening election or special election. In addition, any Unpledged PLEO who shall subsequently become a Pledged PLEO may further alter the number of Unpledged National Convention delegates within a given delegation."
The breakdown of the delegate votes is as follows:
There will actually be more delegates on the floor of the Democratic National Convention than there are delegate votes [which is why I use the term "delegate votes" in the first place]. Some jursidictions will have more delegate seats than actual delegate votes at that Convention [as a result of which, some delegates from some states will have to cast fractional votes during roll calls on the Convention floor]. There will be 4,763 delegate votes at the 47th Democratic National Convention, but there will be 4,767 actual delegates on the floor of the Convention (in other words, 4 more delegates than votes)... here's why:
"In a relative handful of cases, a Member of Congress or a Governor is also a member of the Democratic National Committee (in some of these cases, such as that of the Democrats' Congressional Leaders- House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi - Members of Congress are DNC members ex-officio; in other cases, however, they represent various associated committees or organizations affiliated with the DNC: for example, U.S. Senators sit on the DNC as representatives of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee- likewise, Congressmen and Governors sit on the DNC as representatives of, respectively, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the Democratic Governors' Association); the Democratic Party lists these Unpledged PLEOs who are DNC members as well as holders of elective office solely as DNC members (in other words, as far as the Party is concerned, these people are "Party Leaders" more than "Elected Officials"). However, it is the considered opinion of "The Green Papers" that the average user of this web site is going to think of these few Unpledged PLEOs who are in the unique position of being both PLs AND EOs more in terms of their elected office than their DNC membership: as a result, "The Green Papers" has "converted" DNC members who happen also to be Governors, Senators and Representatives to their political office from their DNC membership. Therefore, the breakdown in each state or other jurisdiction of Unpledged PLEOs as posted on "The Green Papers" may differ somewhat from that put out by the Democratic Party itself: where this is the case, it is so indicated on the appropriate DEMOCRAT page for the affected state or other jurisdiction."
Replacing Unpledged Delegates
Unpledged delegates shall not be entitled to a replacement, nor shall the state be entitled to a replacement, except under the following conditions:
Primary dates marked "presumably" and polling times marked "reportedly" are based on unofficial or estimated data (especially as regards local variations from a jurisdictionwide statutory and/or regulatory standard) and are, thereby, subject to change.1 Democratic Party's "First Determining Step" of the delegate selection process.
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