The Green Papers
The Green Papers
2026 Close Contests Summary'
'Decision by 2% or less
sorted by percent margin

Senate Popular Vote and FEC Total Receipts by Party'
'Gubernatorial Popular Vote by Party'
'House Popular Vote and FEC Total Receipts by Party'
'Close Contests Summary - Decision by 2% or less
sorted by percent margin   (sort by vote margin)
Contests Where No Candidate Received a Majority


The popular vote tallies are UNOFFICIAL and have been acquired from various sources.
 

The FEC tallies are compiled from each candidates' reported "Total Receipts".

Contests

Candidate
(I) = incumbent
* = winner
PartyVoteFEC
Total Receipts
Texas House CD 02
Winner's margin: 1.966%, 5,581 votes
*Steve TothRepublican144,74850.98%$1,035,121
Shaun FinnieDemocratic139,16749.02%$3,158,588
Totals283,915100.00%$4,193,709
Colorado House CD 03
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.895%, 6,308 votes
*Jeffrey "Jeff" Hurd (I)Republican164,14049.31%$4,168,636
Dwayne L. RomeroDemocratic157,83247.42%$1,701,091
Cory RobertsonLibertarian5,5601.67% 
Clifton BrownUnaffiliated5,3351.60% 
Totals332,867100.00%$5,869,727
Florida Chief Financial Officer
Winner's margin: 1.865%, 152,162 votes
*Blaise Ingoglia (I)Republican4,154,95150.93% 
Annette TaddeoDemocratic4,002,78949.07% 
Totals8,157,740100.00% 
Florida Attorney General
Winner's margin: 1.850%, 151,877 votes
*James Uthmeier (I)Republican4,181,31350.92% 
Jose Javier RodríguezDemocratic4,029,43649.08% 
Totals8,210,749100.00% 
New York House CD 21
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.807%, 5,129 votes
*Anthony Thomas ConstantinoRepublican; Taxpayer Rights140,64049.56%$14,464,951
Blake GendebienDemocratic135,51147.75%$7,655,529
BlankScattering6,7912.39% 
Write-inScattering6580.23% 
VoidScattering1760.06% 
Totals283,776100.00%$22,120,480
Michigan House CD 04
Winner's margin: 1.769%, 6,504 votes
*Sean McCannDemocratic184,25750.12%$4,699,153
William P. "Bill" Huizenga (I)Republican177,75348.35%$5,562,775
Shafina "Che" BarnettGreen5,6521.54% 
Totals367,662100.00%$10,261,928
Iowa Attorney General
Winner's margin: 1.768%, 23,692 votes
*Nate WillemsDemocratic681,09750.83% 
Brenna Bird (I)Republican657,40549.06% 
Write-inScattering1,5270.11% 
Totals1,340,029100.00% 
Arkansas House CD 02
Winner's margin: 1.766%, 4,423 votes
*James French "French" Hill (I)Republican127,40850.88%$5,264,024
Christopher Michael "Chris" JonesDemocratic122,98549.12%$1,959,018
Totals250,393100.00%$7,223,042
Louisiana Senate Class 2
Winner's margin: 1.759%, 25,797 votes
*Julia LetlowRepublican746,01450.88%$7,062,069
Jamie DavisDemocratic720,21749.12%$5,019,888
Totals1,466,231100.00%$12,081,957
Alaska Senate Class 2
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 1.749%, 4,250 votes
Mary Sattler PeltolaDemocratic118,92648.95%$36,887,509
Dan S. Sullivan (I)Republican114,67647.20% 
Gerald L. "Jer" "Jerry" HeikesRepublican5,3182.19% 
Daniel J. "Dan" Sullivan, Jr.4,0271.66% 
Totals242,947100.00%$36,887,509
North Carolina House CD 08
Winner's margin: 1.710%, 5,015 votes
*Mark Everette Harris (I)Republican147,68750.36%$1,238,724
Colby Lawrence WatsonDemocratic142,67248.65%$57,590
Robert William "Bo" WhiteheadGreen2,9090.99% 
Totals293,268100.00%$1,296,314
California House CD 23
Margin between top two vote getters: 1.646%, 3,404 votes
Jay Obernolte (I)Republican105,09550.82%$1,854,658
Tessa Lynn HodgeDemocratic101,69149.18%$126,772
Totals206,786100.00%$1,981,430
Ohio House CD 10
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.635%, 4,938 votes
*Kristina KnickerbockerDemocratic149,02449.34%$1,015,878
Michael R. "Mike" Turner (I)Republican144,08647.71%$1,315,094
Thomas F. "Tom" McMastersLibertarian8,9062.95% 
Totals302,016100.00%$2,330,972
Kansas Commissioner of Insurance
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.589%, 17,203 votes
*Daniel "Dan" HawkinsRepublican530,49449.00% 
Dinah SykesDemocratic513,29147.41% 
Ric KoehnLibertarian38,7733.58% 
Totals1,082,558100.00% 
Ohio Auditor
Winner's margin: 1.586%, 72,150 votes
*Frank LaRoseRepublican2,310,10550.79% 
Annette M. BlackwellDemocratic2,237,95549.21% 
Totals4,548,060100.00% 
Maine House CD 02
Winner's margin: 1.545%, 5,176 votes
*Paul R. LePageRepublican170,00250.76%$3,299,130
Matthew G. "Matt" DunlapDemocratic164,82649.21%$2,964,964
Gregory A. WardWrite-in1120.03% 
Totals334,940100.00%$6,264,094
Florida Governor
Winner's margin: 1.285%, 106,240 votes
*Byron DonaldsRepublican4,135,70150.01% 
David W. JollyDemocratic4,029,46148.72% 
Scott Eckhard JewettLibertarian37,9390.46% 
Frank J. RussoNo Party Affiliation23,2400.28% 
Charles W. BurkettNo Party Affiliation15,2590.18% 
Dean Ocean AbramsNo Party Affiliation12,5640.15% 
Jeffrey Peter "Dr. Jeff" DattoNo Party Affiliation8,3310.10% 
Moliere "Moe" DimancheNo Party Affiliation7,6060.09% 
Erik Edward MorrisWrite-in1020.00% 
Kathleen Gail "Kathy" AndersonWrite-in210.00% 
Totals8,270,224100.00% 
Oklahoma House CD 05
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.260%, 3,336 votes
*Stephanie Bice (I)Republican131,02349.48%$2,476,529
Jena NelsonDemocratic127,68748.22%$821,989
Robert Patrick HenriIndependent4,0271.52%$6,361
Austin Rudyard NievesIndependent2,0470.77% 
Totals264,784100.00%$3,304,879
Kansas Attorney General
Winner's margin: 1.232%, 13,456 votes
*Chris MannDemocratic552,75350.62% 
Kris W. Kobach (I)Republican539,29749.38% 
Totals1,092,050100.00% 
Tennessee House CD 09
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.125%, 2,539 votes
*Brent TaylorRepublican111,96849.63%$2,832,273
Justin J. PearsonDemocratic109,42948.50%$4,009,058
Dennis Jeffrey ClarkIndependent2,4131.07% 
Michelle Davis HeadIndependent1,8040.80% 
Totals225,614100.00%$6,841,331
Ohio Treasurer
Winner's margin: 1.103%, 49,788 votes
*Seth WalshDemocratic2,282,54650.55% 
Jay EdwardsRepublican2,232,75849.45% 
Totals4,515,304100.00% 
Arizona House CD 02
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.045%, 3,446 votes
*Eli Crane (I)Republican163,53049.58%$11,904,946
Jonathan Michael NezDemocratic160,08448.53%$5,805,341
Curtis GoodwinLibertarian6,0421.83% 
Unassigned Write-inScattering1390.04% 
Unofficial Write-inScattering620.02% 
Totals329,857100.00%$17,710,287
South Carolina House CD 01
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 1.027%, 3,352 votes
*Nancy S. LacoreDemocratic162,10349.66%$4,865,630
Jenny Costa HoneycuttRepublican158,75148.63%$1,291,996
William Oliver "Bill" Reeside, Jr.Libertarian5,3511.64%$115,492
Write-InScattering2180.07% 
Totals326,423100.00%$6,273,118
South Carolina House CD 02
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 0.986%, 2,926 votes
*Addison Graves "Joe" Wilson, Sr. (I)Republican147,79149.82%$1,017,186
Zyon Deshon El-KhalifaDemocratic144,86548.83%$29,039
Dayna Alane SmithWorkers Party3,6741.24% 
Write-InScattering3340.11% 
Totals296,664100.00%$1,046,225
Colorado House CD 04
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 0.881%, 3,362 votes
*Eileen LaubacherDemocratic186,21848.79%$13,700,426
Lauren Boebert (I)Republican182,85647.91%$1,226,253
Douglas MangerisLibertarian12,6153.31% 
Totals381,689100.00%$14,926,679
North Carolina House CD 10
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.841%, 2,485 votes
Patrick Luke "Pat" Harrigan (I)Republican146,59449.62%$1,318,233
Ashley Thrasher BellDemocratic144,10948.78%$147,720
Steven Richard "Steve" FeldmanLibertarian4,7111.59%$48,754
Totals295,414100.00%$1,514,707
Kansas Secretary of State
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.812%, 8,817 votes
Pat ProctorRepublican524,55548.29% 
Jennifer DayDemocratic515,73847.48% 
Scott E. MorganUnited Kansas46,0364.24% 
Totals1,086,329100.00% 
Florida House CD 13
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 0.794%, 2,491 votes
*Anna Paulina Luna (I)Republican155,18949.48%$4,351,792
Leela J. GrayDemocratic152,69848.68%$2,917,665
Tony C. D'ArrigoNo Party Affiliation5,7821.84%$28,181
Totals313,669100.00%$7,297,638
Florida House CD 26
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 0.742%, 1,704 votes
*Mario Diaz-Balart (I)Republican114,57849.86%$2,763,196
Nicole LocklinDemocratic112,87449.12%$599,527
Deborah Ann Meidinger HoseyNo Party Affiliation2,3521.02%$10,780
Totals229,804100.00%$3,373,503
Louisiana House CD 05
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.728%, 1,660 votes
Patricia Ann "Pat" MooreDemocratic40,78617.89%$23,054
Michael Gabriel "Gabe" FirmentRepublican39,12617.17%$453,882
Misti Smith CordellRepublican33,37114.64%$658,608
Michael Charles EcholsRepublican32,90514.44%$3,188,840
Stewart Cathey, Jr.Republican28,16812.36%$245,550
Antonio WilsonDemocratic27,37312.01%$71,047
Dan McKayDemocratic16,0517.04%$121,182
Austin MageeRepublican7,9103.47%$11,431
Oscar "Omar" DantzlerRepublican2,2330.98% 
Totals227,923100.00%$4,773,594
North Carolina House CD 07
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.704%, 2,270 votes
David Cheston Rouzer (I)Republican160,70149.86%$2,534,038
Kimberly Michelle HardyDemocratic158,43149.16%$390,475
Maad Hatiz Abu-GhazalahLibertarian3,1750.99%$8,899
Totals322,307100.00%$2,933,412
Kansas Governor
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.698%, 7,644 votes
Cindy HolscherDemocratic551,24350.35% 
Ty MastersonRepublican543,59949.65% 
Totals1,094,842100.00% 
Iowa Treasurer
Winner's margin: 0.695%, 9,185 votes
*Roby Smith (I)Republican664,94850.30% 
John NorwoodDemocratic655,76349.60% 
Write-inScattering1,3210.10% 
Totals1,322,032100.00% 
Ohio Attorney General
Winner's margin: 0.625%, 28,407 votes
*John J. KulewiczDemocratic2,285,11750.31% 
Keith FaberRepublican2,256,71049.69% 
Totals4,541,827100.00% 
Mississippi Senate Class 2
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 0.531%, 5,106 votes
*Scott ColomDemocratic472,95049.21% 
Cindy Hyde-Smith (I)Republican467,84448.68%$4,646,803
Tyrone C. "Ty" PinkinsIndependent20,2352.11%$104,686
Totals961,029100.00%$4,751,489
Florida House CD 09
Winner's margin: 0.528%, 1,506 votes
*Darren Soto (I)Democratic143,31450.26%$3,652,280
Dan GreenRepublican141,80849.74%$2,692,713
Totals285,122100.00%$6,344,993
Florida House CD 07
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Winner's margin: 0.503%, 1,631 votes
*Ryan ElijahRepublican161,30049.71%$818,460
Bale DaltonDemocratic159,66949.21%$2,334,664
Christopher Allen "Chris" DennisonLibertarian3,4851.07%$10,500
Totals324,454100.00%$3,163,624
Iowa Auditor
Winner's margin: 0.487%, 6,473 votes
*Taylor WettachDemocratic666,63250.19% 
Chris Gearhart CournoyerRepublican660,15949.70% 
Write-inScattering1,3750.10% 
Totals1,328,166100.00% 
Florida House CD 27
Winner's margin: 0.440%, 1,090 votes
*Marìa Elvira Salazar (I)Republican124,52850.22%$2,519,401
Eliott RodriguezDemocratic123,43849.78%$1,567,393
Totals247,966100.00%$4,086,794
Louisiana House CD 06
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.255%, 668 votes
Chauna BanksDemocratic50,88219.42% 
Blake MiguezRepublican50,21419.17%$7,749,606
Rick EdmondsRepublican49,24218.80%$697,139
Lindsay "Rubia" GarciaDemocratic33,54412.80%$97,007
Stephen WagleyRepublican28,16910.75%$874,344
Patrick Wayne "Pat" ForbesDemocratic23,8229.09%$156,334
Larry Davis, IIIRepublican11,3594.34%$33,216
Anjanita Monique "Monique" AppeaningRepublican8,1103.10%$109,183
Rufus H. Craig, Jr.Libertarian3,4611.32% 
Michael Edward MebruerRepublican3,1601.21%$70,714
Totals261,963100.00%$9,787,543
Tennessee House CD 04
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.143%, 280 votes
Victoria Isabel BroderickDemocratic95,58548.87%$94,217
Scott Eugene DesJarlais (I)Republican95,30548.73%$667,181
Jacob Kristopher AndersIndependent2,8331.45%$2,267
Clay FairclothIndependent1,8530.95% 
Totals195,576100.00%$763,665
North Carolina House CD 03
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.122%, 293 votes
Raymond Edward Smith, Jr.Democratic118,48849.43%$366,581
Gregory Francis "Greg" Murphy (I)Republican118,19549.31%$2,897,749
Daniel Thomas CavenderLibertarian3,0071.25% 
Totals239,690100.00%$3,264,330
North Carolina House CD 05
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.117%, 335 votes
Charles Noble "Chuck" HubbardDemocratic139,78848.74%$863,260
Virginia Ann Foxx (I)Republican139,45348.62%$2,189,052
Robert Blaine LuffmanLibertarian7,5792.64% 
Totals286,820100.00%$3,052,312
Minnesota House CD 01
No single candidate received a majority of the vote.
Margin between top two vote getters: 0.099%, 322 votes
Jacob "Jake" JohnsonDemocratic-Farmer Labor163,05549.99%$3,507,568
Brad Finstad (I)Republican162,73349.89%$2,765,870
WRITE-INScattering3910.12% 
Totals326,179100.00%$6,273,438
44 offices


2026 General Election Outline


Modified .