Presidential Election 2012
Straw Polls

 

Disclaimer:
These pages contain a combination of preliminary, unofficial, and estimated data. The information posted here is subject to change.

The delegate selection processes herein, along with any and all dates associated therewith, are unofficial and based on either (1) information obtained from either Major Party, (2) Presidential Primary dates established by currently-effective State statute, or- where the foregoing information could not be obtained- (3) the state's 2008 delegate selection process and associated dates adjusted to the corresponding dates in 2012.

Democrats

  • Democratic pledged delegate counts are determined by the jurisdiction's Presidential vote in 2000, 2004, and 2008; along with the jurisdiction's electoral vote allocation based on 2010 census. Our estimate for the number of electors in 2012 is here.
  • Democratic unpledged delegate counts are determined by the number of DNC Members, Democratic Governors, Democratic U.S. House members, and Democratic U.S. Senators serving at the time of the convention. The count for DNC Members, Distinguished Party Leaders, and Add-ons are from the 2008 Convention. The tallies of Governors, Democratic U.S. House members, and Democratic U.S. Senators are the current officeholders.
  • Recommendations of the Democratic Change Commission and Democratic "Late Primary/Caucus" Bonus Delegates are not included in these delegate tallies.

Republicans

  • Republican delegate counts are based on the number of Republicans elected to the State Legislatures, Governors chairs, U.S. House seats, and U.S. Senators seats through 31 December 2011. Republican unpledged delegate counts are determined by state (or equivalent) party rules. We have assumed that the policies of 2008 will apply in 2012.
  • The Republican district delegate count is number of U.S. House members each state will receive from the 2010 census. Our estimate is here.
  • Recommendations of the Temporary Delegate Selection Committee, elected during the 2009 Republican National Committee Winter Meeting and whose decisions are to be voted on during the 2010 Republican National Committee Summer Meeting, are not included in these delegate tallies.

26 to 28 February 2009
Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC)

1,757 CPAC Registrant cast votes.
48 States plus DC represented in the balloting.

CandidateVotePercent
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney 20%
Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal 14%
Texas Congressman Ron Paul 13%
Alaska Governor Sarah Palin 13%
Former Congressman and House Speaker Newt Gingrich 10%
Undecided 9%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 7%
South Carolina Governor Mark Sanford 4%
(unknown) 4%
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani 3%
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty 2%
Florida Governor Charlie Crist 1%
Totals 100%

Source: CPAC 2009 Straw Poll Results

 

19 September 2009
2009 Value Voters Summit (Family Research Council)

597 votes cast

CandidateVotePercent
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee17028.48%
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney7412.40%
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty7312.23%
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin7212.06%
Mike Pence7111.89%
Former Congressman and House Speaker Newt Gingrich406.70%
Undecided315.19%
Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal284.69%
Rick Santorum152.51%
Ron Paul132.18%
Other101.68%
Totals597100.00%

Source: Family Research Council's Values Voter Summit Straw Poll

 
 


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