The Green Papers
2008 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions
 
Copyright www.flags.net/UNST.htm Florida Republican
Presidential Nominating Process
Primary: Tuesday 29 January 2008
Republicans
CandidatePopular
Vote
Delegate Votes
Hard TotalFloor Vote
McCain, John Sidney, III701,761  36.00%57 100.00%57 100.00%
Romney, Mitt604,932  31.03%  
Giuliani, Rudolph William286,089  14.68%  
Huckabee, Michael Dale "Mike"262,681  13.47%  
Paul, Ronald Ernest "Ron"62,887   3.23%  
Thompson, Fred Dalton22,668   1.16%  
Keyes, Alan L.4,060   0.21%  
Hunter, Duncan2,847   0.15%  
Tancredo, Thomas Gerald "Tom"1,573   0.08%  
Total1,949,498 100.00%57 100.00%57 100.00%

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29 August 2008 - Republican Party of Florida Chairman Jim Greer released the following statement on Florida’s delegation to the Republican National Committee:

“I am pleased to announce that Florida’s entire delegation will be seated on the floor at the Republican National Convention in St. Paul. All 114 delegates and all 111 alternates will be seated and Florida will enjoy full representation at the Convention. A compromise reached with the RNC and the McCain campaign states that 57 of the delegates will receive traditional voting rights, while the other half of Florida’s delegation will become ‘honored guests’ with full delegate rights and privileges."

Certified FLORIDA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY returns from an official source.


Assuming the Florida delegation is sanctioned, the primary is winner take. John McCain, having received the most votes, receives all 57 delegates in our "Soft" and "Hard" counts.


Assuming that the Florida delegation is seated (our "Alternate Count"), here's how we estimate the delegate count (based on certified returns from an official source):

  • The candidate with the greatest popular vote in each of the 25 districts receives that district's 3 delegates.
  • The candidate with the greatest statewide popular vote receives 39 delegates.
ContestMcCainRomney
 Pop
Vote
DelVote%DelVote%Del
CD1106,154339,30537.026%327,93726.317% 
CD271,132325,23135.471%320,72029.129% 
CD330,74539,29630.236% 10,13232.955%3
CD496,036326,96728.080% 38,81640.418%3
CD5129,257343,77633.867%341,62532.203% 
CD6105,113331,78130.235% 37,59135.762%3
CD7108,792334,43131.648% 40,62237.339%3
CD884,175327,48232.649%326,25031.185% 
CD993,129333,70036.186%328,42030.517% 
CD1084,685332,16337.980%324,96529.480% 
CD1137,476314,69539.212%310,41827.799% 
CD1274,536326,94836.154%323,37331.358% 
CD13119,811344,40537.063%339,08832.625% 
CD14135,901342,96031.611% 56,16341.326%3
CD15107,620337,71135.041%334,86032.392% 
CD16102,059337,45536.699%331,24930.619% 
CD1710,84434,61442.549%31,95218.001% 
CD1858,818329,03449.362%39,94316.905% 
CD1947,494318,51838.990%312,40026.109% 
CD2041,942317,85642.573%39,61922.934% 
CD2155,610327,38749.248%38,73615.709% 
CD2281,933332,95840.226%324,65730.094% 
CD2316,41236,50739.648%33,85323.477% 
CD2497,204332,32433.254%331,42332.327% 
CD2552,620324,25746.098%310,12019.232% 
Statewide1,949,49839701,76135.997%39604,93231.030% 
Delegates 114  99  15

   

On 8 November 2007, the RNC made a determination that Florida's Tuesday 29 January 2008 caucuses violate Republican Party Rule Number 16. The rule states that the process of selecting National Convention Delegates must not begin before Tuesday 5 February 2008. Florida is sanctioned 50% of their delegation hence, the number of delegates is decreased from 114 to 57. The eliminated positions include the 3 automatic delegates (State Chair, National Committeewoman and National Committeeman).

TheGreenPapers.com will be tracking delegate counts as both "Soft" (here assuming that relevant delegations will remain sanctioned into the National Convention [that is: with half the originally allocated delegates to be seated at the Republican National Convention]) and as "Alternative" (here assuming that the full delegation of an affected jurisdiction- as originally allocated before being sanctioned- is eventually to be seated [that is, at some point before the Convention, sanctions will be lifted]) from now until the Party's National Convention convenes or until no delegation is any longer sanctioned, if this should occur prior to the Convention.


Alternative Soft Total Plan. This plan assumes the delegation is not sanctioned.

Tuesday 29 January 2008: All 114 of Florida's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's Florida Presidential Primary.

  • 75 district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 25 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all of that district's National Convention delegates.
  • 36 at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 26 bonus delegates) are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide.
  • 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Florida's Republican Party, will attend the convention, by virtue of their position, bound to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide.

Soft/Hard Total Plan. This plan assumes the delegation is sanctioned.

Tuesday 29 January 2008: All 57 of Florida's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's Florida Presidential Primary.

  • All 57 delegates are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide.

Delegates at the Congressional District level will be chosen between 6 February 2008 and 30 April 2008 at the delegate selection caucuses. At-Large delegates will be chosen between 6 February 2008 and 31 May 2008 at an Republican Party of Florida Executive Board meeting.


 


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