Michigan Republican Delegation 2008

The Green Papers
2008 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions

Michigan Republican
Presidential Nominating Process
Primary: Tuesday 15 January 2008
County Conventions: Thursday 7 February 2008
Congressional Caucuses / State Convention: Friday 15 February - Saturday 16 February 2008

Candidate	Popular Vote	Delegate Votes
Candidate	Popular Vote	Hard Total	Floor Vote
Romney, Mitt	`338,316 38.92%`	`20 66.67%`
McCain, John Sidney, III	`257,985 29.68%`	`7 23.33%`	`30 100.00%`
Huckabee, Michael Dale "Mike"	`139,764 16.08%`	`3 10.00%`
Paul, Ronald Ernest "Ron"	`54,475 6.27%`
Thompson, Fred Dalton	`32,159 3.70%`
Giuliani, Rudolph William	`24,725 2.84%`
Uncommitted	`18,118 2.08%`
Hunter, Duncan	`2,819 0.32%`
Tancredo, Thomas Gerald "Tom"	`457 0.05%`
Brownback, Samuel Dale	`351 0.04%`
Total	`869,169 100.00%`	`30 100.00%`	`30 100.00%`

Delegate Selection: Winner-Take-All (by district and statewide),
Polling hours 7:00a EST (1200 UTC) / 7:00a CST (1300 UTC) to 8:00p EST (0100 UTC) / 8:00p CST (0200 UTC). Relatively small portions of this state are in CST and so the vast majority of the polls are closed by the time indicated EST, when the networks feel they can project.
Voter Eligibility: Open Primary

30 total delegates - penalty: 50% of 60 [10 base at-large / 45 re: 15 congressional districts / 3 party / 2 bonus]

States Chronologically States Alphabetically Republican Convention Michigan Democrat

Michigan Primaries for Statewide offices and Congress

Michigan State and Local Government

Reference: REPUBLICAN PARTY OF MICHIGAN RULES FOR SELECTION OF DELEGATES AND ALTERNATES TO THE 2008 REPUBLICAN COUNTY, STATE AND NATIONAL CONVENTIONS. Amended Exhibit A to Policy Committee Unity Resolution dated August 15, 2007

Reference: 16 January 2008 comments from the Saulius "Saul" Anuzis of the Michigan Republican Party

Certified returns from an official source.

Here's how we compute the delegate count ((based on certified returns of the 15 January 2008 primary from an official source):

The candidate who receives the most votes in each CD receives either 1 delegate (assuming a penalty) or 3 delegates (assuming no penalty)
Either 15 delegates (assuming a penalty) or 12 delegates (assuming no penalty) are allocated proportionally to those candidate receiving 15% or more of the total statewide popular vote to qualify for delegates. Discard votes cast for those candidates who do not qualify. Romney, McCain, and Huckabee have qualified for statewide delegates. .

Sanctioned Hard and Soft Tallies
The Hard and Soft Delegates tallies are computed with the assumption that sanctions are applied and 30 delegates will be seated at the National Convention.

Contest				Romney			McCain			Huckabee
�	Pop Vote	Qual Vote	Del	Vote	%	Del	Vote	%	Del	Vote	%	Del
CD1	57,485	57,485	1	19,367	33.691%	�	20,352	35.404%	1	9,463	16.462%	�
CD2	78,001	78,001	1	26,323	33.747%	1	25,639	32.870%	�	16,638	21.330%	�
CD3	76,314	76,314	1	28,254	37.023%	1	23,855	31.259%	�	13,941	18.268%	�
CD4	65,027	65,027	1	24,076	37.025%	1	21,309	32.769%	�	11,063	17.013%	�
CD5	40,668	40,668	1	14,697	36.139%	1	10,995	27.036%	�	8,033	19.753%	�
CD6	59,159	59,159	1	16,952	28.655%	�	21,969	37.136%	1	11,274	19.057%	�
CD7	63,610	63,610	1	22,472	35.328%	1	19,535	30.711%	�	11,052	17.375%	�
CD8	73,944	73,944	1	29,888	40.420%	1	20,308	27.464%	�	12,027	16.265%	�
CD9	81,209	81,209	1	39,083	48.126%	1	21,942	27.019%	�	7,872	9.694%	�
CD10	74,237	74,237	1	31,573	42.530%	1	18,686	25.171%	�	10,899	14.681%	�
CD11	72,010	72,010	1	32,915	45.709%	1	18,408	25.563%	�	9,420	13.082%	�
CD12	46,380	46,380	1	19,880	42.863%	1	12,212	26.330%	�	6,267	13.512%	�
CD13	17,484	17,484	1	8,001	45.762%	1	4,787	27.379%	�	1,870	10.695%	�
CD14	16,775	16,775	1	7,100	42.325%	1	4,365	26.021%	�	2,447	14.587%	�
CD15	46,866	46,866	1	17,735	37.842%	1	13,623	29.068%	�	7,498	15.999%	�
Statewide	869,169	736,065	15	338,316	45.963%	7	257,985	35.049%	5	139,764	18.988%	3
Delegates	�	�	30	�	�	20	�	�	7	�	�	3

Unsanctioned Alternative Soft Tally
The Alternative Soft Delegate tally is computed with the assumption that no sanctions are applied and 60 delegates will be seated at the National Convention.

Contest				Romney			McCain			Huckabee
�	Pop Vote	Qual Vote	Del	Vote	%	Del	Vote	%	Del	Vote	%	Del
CD1	57,485	57,485	3	19,367	33.691%	�	20,352	35.404%	3	9,463	16.462%	�
CD2	78,001	78,001	3	26,323	33.747%	3	25,639	32.870%	�	16,638	21.330%	�
CD3	76,314	76,314	3	28,254	37.023%	3	23,855	31.259%	�	13,941	18.268%	�
CD4	65,027	65,027	3	24,076	37.025%	3	21,309	32.769%	�	11,063	17.013%	�
CD5	40,668	40,668	3	14,697	36.139%	3	10,995	27.036%	�	8,033	19.753%	�
CD6	59,159	59,159	3	16,952	28.655%	�	21,969	37.136%	3	11,274	19.057%	�
CD7	63,610	63,610	3	22,472	35.328%	3	19,535	30.711%	�	11,052	17.375%	�
CD8	73,944	73,944	3	29,888	40.420%	3	20,308	27.464%	�	12,027	16.265%	�
CD9	81,209	81,209	3	39,083	48.126%	3	21,942	27.019%	�	7,872	9.694%	�
CD10	74,237	74,237	3	31,573	42.530%	3	18,686	25.171%	�	10,899	14.681%	�
CD11	72,010	72,010	3	32,915	45.709%	3	18,408	25.563%	�	9,420	13.082%	�
CD12	46,380	46,380	3	19,880	42.863%	3	12,212	26.330%	�	6,267	13.512%	�
CD13	17,484	17,484	3	8,001	45.762%	3	4,787	27.379%	�	1,870	10.695%	�
CD14	16,775	16,775	3	7,100	42.325%	3	4,365	26.021%	�	2,447	14.587%	�
CD15	46,866	46,866	3	17,735	37.842%	3	13,623	29.068%	�	7,498	15.999%	�
Statewide	869,169	736,065	12	338,316	45.963%	6	257,985	35.049%	4	139,764	18.988%	2
Delegates	�	�	57	�	�	45	�	�	10	�	�	2

8 February 2008 update from The blog of the Michigan Republican Party by Saul Anuzis:

In accordance with Rule 19E(2) of the Republican Party of Michigan Rules for Selection of Delegates and Alternates to the 2008 Republican County, State and National Conventions, the 45 delegates that were previously allocated to Governor Romney will now be deemed �uncommitted� delegates and are therefore not bound to support any particular candidate at the 2008 Republican National Convention. Pursuant to the Rules, the Credentials Committee of the Michigan Republican Party will today submit notification to Governor Romney�s campaign informing them of this action. Governor Romney has the right to appeal the Credentials Committee�s determination within five days, but it is our understanding from the Romney campaign that he has no intention to do so.

Media article on the subject.

Accordingly, we are moving Romney's 25 delegates from our soft count (assumes sanctions) and 45 delgates from our alternative count (assumes no sanctions) to an uncommitted status.

A 17 February 2008 media report indicates McCain has the support of 36 of the 45 Romney delegates and support of 2 (Chuck Yob and Holly Hughes) of the party leader delegates. These changes are reflected in the Alternative delegate count: McCain 48 = 36 (Romney) + 10 (primary) + 2 (automatic).

A 4 March 2008 report Anuzis will vote for McCain at convention indicates that Senator McCain has the support of automatic delegate and Michigan Republican Party Chairman Saul Anuzis. These changes are reflected in the Alternative delegate count: McCain 49 = 36 (Romney) + 10 (primary) + 3 (automatic).

28 August 2088: Huckabee officially released his Michigan delegates.

On 8 November 2007, the RNC made a determination that Michigan's Tuesday 15 January 2008 caucuses violate Republican Party Rule Number 16. The rule states that the process of selecting National Convention Delegates must not begin before Tuesday 5 February 2008. Michigan is sanctioned 50% of their delegation hence, the number of delegates is decreased from 60 to 30. The eliminated positions include the 3 automatic delegates (State Chair, National Committeewoman and National Committeeman).

Based on a unanimous vote of the Michigan Republican State Committee, the Michigan Republican Party will allocate and send its entire delegation of 60 delegates to the national convention.

TheGreenPapers.com will be tracking delegate counts as both "Soft" (here assuming that relevant delegations will remain sanctioned into the National Convention [that is: with half the originally allocated delegates to be seated at the Republican National Convention]) and as "Alternative" (here assuming that the full delegation of an affected jurisdiction- as originally allocated before being sanctioned- is eventually to be seated [that is, at some point before the Convention, sanctions will be lifted]) from now until the Party's National Convention convenes or until no delegation is any longer sanctioned, if this should occur prior to the Convention.

Tuesday 15 January 2008: All 30 (pre-penalty 60) of Michigan's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in today's Michigan Presidential Primary.

15 (we are guessing) (pre-penalty 45) district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the state's 15 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 1 (?) (pre-penalty 3) National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all of that district's National Convention delegates.
15 (we are guessing) (pre-penalty 12 [10 at-large, 2 bonus]) National Convention Delegates are to be proportionally allocated to presidential contenders based on the statewide vote.

A candidate must receive 15% of the statewide vote to be eligible to receive National Convention delegates. From those candidates meeting this threshold, proportionally allocate 15 (?) (pre-penalty 12) national convention delegates according to the statewide vote. Round factions to the nearest whole number (below 0.5 are rounded down, 0.5 and above are rounded up). If the end result is less than 15 (?) (pre-penalty 12) delegates, allocate 1 additional delegate to the candidate receiving the most votes statewide. If the end result is more than 15 (?) (pre-penalty 12) delegates, subtract 1 delegate from the candidate receiving the fewest votes statewide.

The individual National Convention Delegates and Alternates are selected during the Friday 15 February 2008 Congressional District Caucuses.

Thursday 7 February 2008 - County Conventions.

All county parties are required to hold County Conventions at this date and time. The location is determined by the County Committee.

Friday 15 February - Saturday 16 February 2008: Congressional District Caucuses (15 February) and State Convention (16 February).

District Caucuses will be held Friday night at the Lansing Radisson Hotel and the Lansing Center.

The State Convention will elect the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Michigan's Republican Party. These delegates will attend the convention as unpledged delegates by virtue of their position.

The RNC-member delegates are Chairman Saul Anuzis, National Committeewoman Holly Hughes, and National Committeeman Chuck Yob.