Updated 3 November 2008
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The Presidency, 11 Governor's chairs, 35 Senate seats, and 435 House Seats are up for election in 2008. During this primary season 4 incumbents lost their bids for renomination:
Outlook for the Presidency in the 4 November 2008 (updated 3 November 2008):
This leaves the remaining 11 states, with a combined total of 127 electoral votes, "in play". Of those in play, 3 states with a combined 24 electoral votes lean Democratic and 2 states with 6 electoral votes leans Republican. This gives the Democrats 278 votes (270 are needed to win) and the Republican's 163 votes. The remaining 6 states, with a combined 97 electoral votes, are toss-ups that can go either way (and, if you then- if only for the sake of the argument- do that ol' coin flip-as-chance thing and split these 97 votes between the Parties, you actually end up with 326 or 327 electoral votes for the Democrats and 211 or 212 for the Republicans. All of which means that, should these numbers hold, the Democrats will handily win the Presidency in this year's 2008 General Election. Since 1976, 6 states have always voted for the winning Presidential Candidate: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee. (Reference: 1976-2004 Presidential Election State Voting Trends Sorted by How often a state voted for the Winner.) The polls in these states show 4 prefer McCain and 2 are a toss-up. Two states, Florida and Nevada, have voted for the winner 88% of the time since 1976. The polls in these states show 1 prefers Obama and the other is a toss-up. Changes from 23 October to 3 November: We moved Wisconsin from Democratic to Leans Democratic and North Dakota from Toss-up to Leans Republican. Overall, Obama is holding a lead in 5 states carried by Bush in 2004: Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, and Virginia (however we are still showing Virginia as a toss-up). Outlook for the U.S. Senate in the 4 November 2008 Election (updated 3 November 2008):
Of the 35 U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2008:
This gives the Democrats 48, Independents 2 (both Senators caucus with the Democrats), and the Republicans 37. 13 U.S. Senate seats are left in SOME kind of "play"... Of these 13 "in play", 7 lean Democratic and 4 lean Republican. Thus, the Senate has a total of 55 Democratics, 2 Independents, and 41 Republican "not up for election / certain / likely" seats. This leaves 2 Senate seats with toss-ups that can go either way (and, if you then- if only for the sake of the argument- do that ol' coin flip-as-chance thing and split these 2 between the Parties, you actually end up with a quite possible result of the elections re: the U.S. Senate of 56 Democrats, 42 Republicans and 2 Independents (who currently caucus with the Democrats). All of which means that, should these numbers hold, the Democrats will retain control of the the Senate and add to their numbers as a result of this year's 2008 General Election. Changes from 23 October to 3 November: On 23 October the synopsis showed 52 or 53 Democrats to 45 or 46 Republicans. The 3 November numbers show 56 Democrats (plus two Senators who caucus with the Democrats) to 42 Republicans, a trend favoring the Democrats. Overview
Outlook for the House of Representatives in the 4 November 2008 Election (updated 3 November 2008):
Leaving 83 U.S. House seats in at least SOME kind of "play"... Of these 83 "in play", 50 lean Democratic (giving the Democrats 258) while 23 lean Republican (giving the GOP side of the House aisle 167). This leaves only 10 toss-ups that they can go either way (and, if you then- if only for the sake of the argument- do that ol' coin flip-as-chance thing you actually end up with a quite possible result of the elections re: the U.S. House of 263 Democrats and 172 Republicans with 218 needed for a majority. All of which means that, should these numbers hold, the Democrats will retain control of the House and add to their numbers in this year's 2008 General Election. Changes from 23 October to 3 November: On 23 October the synopsis showed 246 to 247 Democrats and 188 to 198 Republicans. The 3 November numbers show 263 Democrats to 172 Republicans, a trend significantly favoring the Democrats. Overview
Below is a state by state digest of offices up for election 2008 General Election.
Key:
By the way, the only poll that matters is the one on 4 November 2008! Information to build this list was obtained from the following sites (shown in alphabetical order by URL). Updated 23 October 2008.
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| Office | D (Democrat) | LD (Leans Democrat) | T (Toss-up) | LR (Leans Republican) | R (Republican) | Others1 |
| President 51 states2 (538 E.V.) | 21 states2 (254 E.V.) CA (55) CT (7) DE (3) DC (3) HI (4) IL (21) IA (7) ME (4) MD (10) MA (12) MI (17) MN (10) NH (4) NJ (15) NM (5) NY (31) OR (7) PA (21) RI (4) VT (3) WA (11) | 3 states2 (24 E.V.) CO (9) NV (5) WI (10) | 6 states2 (97 E.V.) FL (27) IN (11) MO (11) NC (15) OH (20) VA (13) | 2 states2 (6 E.V.) MT (3) ND (3) | 19 states2 (157 E.V.) AL (9) AK (3) AZ (10) AR (6) GA (15) ID (4) KS (6) KY (8) LA (9) MS (6) NE (5) OK (7) SC (8) SD (3) TN (11) TX (34) UT (5) WV (5) WY (3) | |
| Senate 35 seats | 11 seats AR S2 DE S2 IL S2 IA S2 MA S2 MI S2 MT S2 NJ S2 RI S2 SD S2 WV S2 | 7 seats AK S2 CO S2 LA S2 NM S2 NC S2 OR S2 VA S2 | 2 seats MN S2 NH S2 | 4 seats GA S2 KY S2 ME S2 MS S1 | 11 seats AL S2 ID S2 KS S2 MS S2 NE S2 OK S2 SC S2 TN S2 TX S2 WY S1 WY S2 | 0 seats |
| House 435 seats | 208 seats AL H07 AZ H04 AZ H07 AR H01 AR H02 AR H04 CA H01 CA H05 CA H06 CA H07 CA H08 CA H09 CA H10 CA H12 CA H13 CA H14 CA H15 CA H16 CA H17 CA H18 CA H20 CA H23 CA H27 CA H28 CA H29 CA H30 CA H31 CA H32 CA H33 CA H34 CA H35 CA H36 CA H37 CA H38 CA H39 CA H43 CA H47 CA H51 CA H53 CO H01 CO H02 CO H03 CO H07 CT H01 CT H02 CT H03 FL H02 FL H03 FL H11 FL H17 FL H19 FL H20 FL H22 FL H23 GA H02 GA H04 GA H05 GA H12 GA H13 HI H01 HI H02 IL H01 IL H02 IL H03 IL H04 IL H05 IL H07 IL H08 IL H09 IL H12 IL H17 IN H01 IN H02 IN H07 IN H08 IA H01 IA H02 IA H03 KS H03 KY H06 LA H02 LA H03 ME H01 ME H02 MD H02 MD H03 MD H04 MD H05 MD H07 MD H08 MA H01 MA H02 MA H03 MA H04 MA H05 MA H06 MA H07 MA H08 MA H09 MA H10 MI H01 MI H05 MI H12 MI H13 MI H14 MI H15 MN H04 MN H05 MN H07 MN H08 MS H02 MS H04 MO H01 MO H03 MO H04 MO H05 NV H01 NJ H01 NJ H06 NJ H08 NJ H09 NJ H10 NJ H12 NJ H13 NM H03 NY H01 NY H02 NY H04 NY H05 NY H06 NY H07 NY H08 NY H09 NY H10 NY H11 NY H12 NY H14 NY H15 NY H16 NY H17 NY H18 NY H21 NY H22 NY H27 NY H28 NC H01 NC H02 NC H04 NC H07 NC H11 NC H12 NC H13 ND OH H06 OH H09 OH H10 OH H11 OH H13 OH H17 OK H02 OR H01 OR H03 OR H04 PA H01 PA H02 PA H07 PA H12 PA H13 PA H14 PA H17 RI H01 RI H02 SC H05 SC H06 SD TN H04 TN H05 TN H06 TN H08 TN H09 TX H09 TX H15 TX H16 TX H17 TX H18 TX H20 TX H25 TX H27 TX H28 TX H29 TX H30 UT H02 VT VA H03 VA H08 VA H09 WA H01 WA H02 WA H03 WA H06 WA H07 WA H09 WV H01 WV H03 WI H02 WI H03 WI H04 WI H07 | 50 seats AL H05 AK AZ H05 AZ H08 CA H11 CO H04 CT H04 CT H05 FL H08 FL H24 GA H08 IL H10 IL H11 IL H14 IN H09 KS H02 KY H03 LA H06 MI H07 MI H09 MN H01 MN H03 MN H06 MS H01 NV H03 NH H01 NH H02 NJ H03 NM H01 NM H02 NY H13 NY H19 NY H20 NY H24 NY H25 NY H29 NC H08 OH H15 OH H16 OH H18 OR H05 PA H03 PA H04 PA H08 PA H10 PA H11 TX H23 VA H11 WA H08 WI H08 | 10 seats AL H02 AZ H01 CA H04 FL H21 FL H25 ID H01 IN H03 MD H01 MO H09 NJ H07 | 23 seats FL H10 FL H13 FL H15 FL H16 LA H04 MO H06 NV H02 NJ H05 NY H26 OH H01 OH H02 PA H06 PA H15 PA H18 SC H01 TX H07 TX H10 TX H22 VA H02 VA H05 VA H10 WV H02 WY | 144 seats AL H01 AL H03 AL H04 AL H06 AZ H02 AZ H03 AZ H06 AR H03 CA H02 CA H03 CA H19 CA H21 CA H22 CA H24 CA H25 CA H26 CA H40 CA H41 CA H42 CA H44 CA H45 CA H46 CA H48 CA H49 CA H50 CA H52 CO H05 CO H06 DE FL H01 FL H04 FL H05 FL H06 FL H07 FL H09 FL H12 FL H14 FL H18 GA H01 GA H03 GA H06 GA H07 GA H09 GA H10 GA H11 ID H02 IL H06 IL H13 IL H15 IL H16 IL H18 IL H19 IN H04 IN H05 IN H06 IA H04 IA H05 KS H01 KS H04 KY H01 KY H02 KY H04 KY H05 LA H01 LA H05 LA H07 MD H06 MI H02 MI H03 MI H04 MI H06 MI H08 MI H10 MI H11 MN H02 MS H03 MO H02 MO H07 MO H08 MT NE H01 NE H02 NE H03 NJ H02 NJ H04 NJ H11 NY H03 NY H23 NC H03 NC H05 NC H06 NC H09 NC H10 OH H03 OH H04 OH H05 OH H07 OH H08 OH H12 OH H14 OK H01 OK H03 OK H04 OK H05 OR H02 PA H05 PA H09 PA H16 PA H19 SC H02 SC H03 SC H04 TN H01 TN H02 TN H03 TN H07 TX H01 TX H02 TX H03 TX H04 TX H05 TX H06 TX H08 TX H11 TX H12 TX H13 TX H14 TX H19 TX H21 TX H24 TX H26 TX H31 TX H32 UT H01 UT H03 VA H01 VA H04 VA H06 VA H07 WA H04 WA H05 WI H01 WI H05 WI H06 | 0 seats |
| Governor 11 chairs | 4 chairs DE MT NH WV | 3 chairs MO NC WA | 0 chairs | 1 chair IN | 3 chairs ND UT VT | |
| Other Statewide | 36 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 4 |
| 1. Others: I: Independent, N: Nonpartisan. 2. "States": the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. | ||||||
| Alabama | ||
| President | R (9) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator Jefferson B. "Jeff" Sessions |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Josiah Robins "Jo" Bonner |
| House 2 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican state Representative Jay K. Love vs. Montgomery Mayor Bobby Neal Bright, Sr. |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Michael "Mike" Rogers |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Robert B. Aderholt |
| House 5 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic state Senator R. Parker "Parker" Griffith |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Spencer T. Bachus |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Artur Genestre Davis |
| Alaska | ||
| President | R (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich or Republican Senator Theodore F. "Ted" Stevens |
| House | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic former state Representative Ethan A. Berkowitz |
| American Samoa | ||
| Governor | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Governor Togiola T.A. Tulafono |
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Territorial Delegate Eni F.H. Faleomavaega |
| Arizona | ||
| President | R (10) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| House 1 | T | **WATCH** Democratic state Representative Ann Kirkpatrick slightly favored over Republican Sydney Ann Hay |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Trent Franks |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman John B. Shadegg |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Edward L. "Ed" Pastor |
| House 5 | LD | Democratic Congressman Harold E. "Harry" Mitchell |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Jeff Flake |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Raúl M. Grijalva |
| House 8 | LD | Democratic Congressman Gabrielle "Gabby" Giffords |
| Arkansas | ||
| President | R (6) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Mark Lunsford Pryor |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Marion Berry |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Victor Frederick "Vic" Snyder |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman John Nichols Boozman |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael Avery "Mike" Ross |
| California | ||
| President | D (55) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman C. Michael "Mike" Thompson |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Walter William "Wally" Herger, Jr. |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Daniel E. "Dan" Lungren |
| House 4 | T | **WATCH** Democratic Charles Duane "Charlie" Brown slightly favored over Republican state Senator Thomas "Tom" McClintock |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Doris K. Matsui |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Lynn C. Woolsey |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman George Miller |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Nancy Pelosi |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Barbara Lee |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Ellen O. Tauscher |
| House 11 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Jerry McNerney |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Jackie Speier |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Fortney "Pete" Stark |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman Anna G. Eshoo |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael M. "Mike" Honda |
| House 16 | D | Democratic Congressman Zoe Lofgren |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Sam Farr |
| House 18 | D | Democratic Congressman Dennis A. Cardoza |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman George P. Radanovich |
| House 20 | D | Democratic Congressman Jim Costa |
| House 21 | R | Republican Congressman Devin Gerald Nunes |
| House 22 | R | Republican Congressman Kevin McCarthy |
| House 23 | D | Democratic Congressman Lois G. Capps |
| House 24 | R | Republican Congressman Elton Gallegly |
| House 25 | R | Republican Congressman Howard P. "Buck" McKeon |
| House 26 | R | Republican Congressman David Dreier |
| House 27 | D | Democratic Congressman Brad Sherman |
| House 28 | D | Democratic Congressman Howard L. Berman |
| House 29 | D | Democratic Congressman Adam B. Schiff |
| House 30 | D | Democratic Congressman Henry A. Waxman |
| House 31 | D | Democratic Congressman Xavier Becerra |
| House 32 | D | Democratic Congressman Hilda L. Solis |
| House 33 | D | Democratic Congressman Diane E. Watson |
| House 34 | D | Democratic Congressman Lucille Roybal-Allard |
| House 35 | D | Democratic Congressman Maxine Waters |
| House 36 | D | Democratic Congressman Jane Harman |
| House 37 | D | Democratic Congressman Laura Richardson |
| House 38 | D | Democratic Congressman Grace Flores Napolitano |
| House 39 | D | Democratic Congressman Linda T. Sanchez |
| House 40 | R | Republican Congressman Edward R. "Ed" Royce |
| House 41 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Congressman Jerry Lewis |
| House 42 | R | Republican Congressman Gary G. Miller |
| House 43 | D | Democratic Congressman Joe Baca |
| House 44 | R | Republican Congressman Ken Calvert |
| House 45 | R | Republican Congressman Mary Bono Mack |
| House 46 | R | Republican Congressman Dana Rohrabacher |
| House 47 | D | Democratic Congressman Loretta Sanchez |
| House 48 | R | Republican Congressman John B. T. Campbell, III |
| House 49 | R | Republican Congressman Darrell Edward Issa |
| House 50 | R | Republican Congressman Brian Phillip Bilbray |
| House 51 | D | Democratic Congressman Bob Filner |
| House 52 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Duncan Duane Hunter |
| House 53 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Congressman Susan A. Davis |
| Colorado | ||
| President | LD (9) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Mark E. Udall |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Diana L. DeGette |
| House 2 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Jared Polis |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman John Tony Salazar |
| House 4 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Elizabeth Helen "Betsy" Markey favored over Republican Congressman Marilyn N. Musgrave |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Douglas L. "Doug" Lamborn |
| House 6 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Secretary of State Mike Coffman |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Edwin "Ed" Perlmutter |
| Connecticut | ||
| President | D (7) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman John B. Larson |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Joseph D. "Joe" Courtney |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Rosa L. DeLauro |
| House 4 | LD | Democratic Jim Himes favored over Republican Congressman Christopher Shays |
| House 5 | LD | Democratic Congressman Christopher Scott "Chris" Murphy |
| Delaware | ||
| President | D (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Joseph Robinette "Joe" Biden, Jr. |
| Governor | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Treasurer Jack A. Markell |
| Lieutenant Governor | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Insurance Commissioner Matthew P. "Matt" Denn |
| House | R | Republican Congressman Michael N. "Mike" Castle |
| Commissioner of Insurance | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic / Working Families Karen Weldin Stewart |
| District of Columbia | ||
| President | D (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | Democratic Territorial Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton |
| Florida | ||
| President | T (27) | **WATCH** |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman F. Allen Boyd, Jr. |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Corrine Brown |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Ander M. Crenshaw |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Clifford Bundy "Cliff" Stearns |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman John L. Mica |
| House 8 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Alan Mark Grayson favored over Republican Congressman Richard Anthony "Ric" Keller |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Gus Michael Bilirakis |
| House 10 | LR | Republican Congressman C.W. "Bill" Young |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Katherine Anne "Kathy" Castor |
| House 12 | R | Republican Congressman Adam H. Putnam |
| House 13 | LR | Republican Congressman Vernon "Vern" Buchanan |
| House 14 | R | Republican Congressman Connie Mack |
| House 15 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican state Senator William "Bill" Posey |
| House 16 | LR | Republican Thomas Joseph "Tom" Rooney favored over Democratic Congressman Timothy Edward "Tim" Mahoney |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Kendrick B. Meek |
| House 18 | R | Republican Congressman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen |
| House 19 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert Wexler |
| House 20 | D | Democratic Congressman Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| House 21 | T | Democratic Raul L. Martinez vs. Republican Congressman Lincoln Diaz-Balart |
| House 22 | D | Democratic Congressman Ron Klein |
| House 23 | D | Democratic Congressman Alcee L. Hastings |
| House 24 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic former state Representative Suzanne M. Kosmas favored over Republican Congressman Tom Feeney |
| House 25 | T | Republican Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart vs. Democratic Jose Antonio "Joe" Garcia |
| Georgia | ||
| President | R (15) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | LR | Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss vs. Democratic James Francis "Jim" Martin: expect no candidate to receive 50% on 4 November - contest to be decided on 2 December runoff |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman John Heddens "Jack" Kingston |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Sanford Dixon Bishop, Jr. |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Lynn Acton Westmoreland |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr. |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman John Lewis |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Thomas Edmunds "Tom" Price |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman John Linder |
| House 8 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman James Creel "Jim" Marshall |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Nathan Deal |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Paul Collins Broun, Jr. |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Phillip J. "Phil" Gingrey |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman John J. Barrow |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman David Albert Scott |
| Guam | ||
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Territorial Delegate Madeleine Z. Bordallo |
| Hawaii | ||
| President | D (4) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Neil Abercrombie |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Mazie K. Hirono |
| Idaho | ||
| President | R (4) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Lieutenant Governor James E. "Jim" Risch |
| House 1 | T | Republican Congressman William T. "Bill" Sali vs. Democratic Walter Clifford "Walt" Minnick |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Michael Keith "Mike" Simpson |
| Illinois | ||
| President | D (21) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Richard J. "Dick" Durbin |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Bobby Lee Rush |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Jesse Louis Jackson, Jr. |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Daniel William Lipinski |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Luis V. Gutierrez |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Rahm Emanuel |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Peter J. Roskam |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Danny K. Davis |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Melissa Luburich Bean |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Janice D. "Jan" Schakowsky |
| House 10 | LD | Democratic Daniel Joseph "Dan" Seals favored over Republican Congressman Mark Steven Kirk |
| House 11 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Senate Majority Leader Deborah "Debbie" DeFrancesco Halvorson |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Jerry F. Costello |
| House 13 | R | Republican Congressman Judy Biggert |
| House 14 | LD | Democratic Congressman G. William "Bill" Foster |
| House 15 | R | Republican Congressman Timothy V. "Tim" Johnson |
| House 16 | R | Republican Congressman Donald A. Manzullo |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Philip G. "Phil" Hare |
| House 18 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican state Representative Aaron Schock |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman John M. Shimkus |
| Indiana | ||
| President | T (11) | **NO INCUMBENT** |
| Governor | LR | Republican Governor Mitchell E. "Mitch" Daniels, Jr. |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Peter J. Visclosky |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Joseph Simon "Joe" Donnelly |
| House 3 | T | Republican Congressman Mark Edward Souder vs. Democratic Michael Anthony "Mike" Montagano |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Steve Buyer |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Danny L. "Dan" Burton |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Mike Pence |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman André D. Carson |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Brad Ellsworth |
| House 9 | LD | Democratic Congressman Baron P. Hill |
| Attorney General | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Greg Zoeller |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Tony Bennett |
| Iowa | ||
| President | D (7) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Thomas Richard "Tom" Harkin |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Bruce L. Braley |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman David Wayne Loebsack |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Leonard L. Boswell |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Thomas P. "Tom" Latham |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Steven A. "Steve" King |
| Kansas | ||
| President | R (6) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator Pat Roberts |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jerry Moran |
| House 2 | LD | Democratic Congressman Nancy E. Boyda favored over Republican Treasurer Lynn Jenkins |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Dennis Moore |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Todd W. Tiahrt |
| Kentucky | ||
| President | R (8) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | LR | Republican Senator Mitch McConnell |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Edward "Ed" Whitfield |
| House 2 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican state Senator Steven Brett "Brett" Guthrie |
| House 3 | LD | Democratic Congressman John A. Yarmuth |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Geoffrey C. "Geoff" Davis |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Harold Dallas "Hal" Rogers |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman A.B. "Ben" Chandler, III |
| Louisiana | ||
| President | R (9) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | LD | Leans Democratic Senator Mary L. Landrieu |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Stephen J. "Steve" Scalise |
| House 2 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Either Democratic Congressman William Jennings "Bill" Jefferson or Democratic Helena Moreno |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman "Charlie" Melancon, Jr. |
| House 4 | LR | **WATCH** Leans slightly Republican |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Rodney Alexander |
| House 6 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Donald J. "Don" Cazayoux, Jr. |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Charles W. Boustany, Jr. |
| Maine | ||
| President | D (4) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | LR | Republican Senator Susan M. Collins |
| House 1 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic former Senate Majority Leader Chellie M. "Hannah" Pingree |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael H. Michaud |
| Maryland | ||
| President | D (10) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Frank Michael Kratovil, Jr. vs. Republican state Senator Andrew P. "Andy" Harris |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman C.A. Dutch Ruppersberger |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman John Peter Spyros Sarbanes |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Donna Fern Edwards |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Steny Hamilton Hoyer |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Roscoe G. Bartlett, Jr. |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Elijah E. Cummings |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Christopher "Chris" Van Hollen, Jr. |
| Massachusetts | ||
| President | D (12) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman John W. Olver |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Richard E. Neal |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman James P. "Jim" McGovern |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Barney Frank |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Nicola S. "Niki" Tsongas |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman John F. Tierney |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Edward J. "Ed" Markey |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael E. Capuano |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Stephen F. Lynch |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman William D. "Bill" Delahunt |
| Michigan | ||
| President | D (17) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Carl Levin |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Bart Stupak |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Peter Hoekstra |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Vernon J. Ehlers |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman David Lee "Dave" Camp |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Dale E. Kildee |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Frederick Stephen "Fred" Upton |
| House 7 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic state Senate Minority Leader Mark Hamilton Schauer favored over Republican Congressman Timothy L. "Tim" Walberg |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Michael J. "Mike" Rogers |
| House 9 | LD | Democratic former state Senator Gary Peters favored over Republican Congressman Joseph K. "Joe" Knollenberg |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Candice S. Miller |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Thaddeus G. McCotter |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Sander M. "Sandy" Levin |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman John Conyers, Jr. |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman John D. Dingell |
| Minnesota | ||
| President | D (10) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | T | Republican Senator Norm Coleman vs. Democratic-Farmer Labor Al Franken |
| House 1 | LD | Democratic Congressman Timothy J. "Tim" Walz |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman John P. Kline |
| House 3 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic-Farmer Labor Jigar Ashwin "Ashwin" Madia favored over Republican state Representative Erik Paulsen |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Betty McCollum |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Keith Maurice Ellison |
| House 6 | LD | Democratic-Farmer Labor Elwyn Glenn "El" Tinklenberg favored over Republican Congressman Michele M. Bachmann |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Collin C. Peterson |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman James L. "Jim" Oberstar |
| Mississippi | ||
| President | R (6) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 1 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator Roger F. Wicker favored over Democratic former Governor David Ronald "Ronnie" Musgrove |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator Thad Cochran |
| House 1 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Travis W. Childers favored over Republican Southaven Mayor Charles Gregory "Greg" Davis |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Bennie G. Thompson |
| House 3 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Gregg Harper |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Gene Taylor |
| Missouri | ||
| President | T (11) | **NO INCUMBENT** |
| Governor | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Attorney General Jeremiah W. "Jay" Nixon |
| Lieutenant Governor | LD | Democratic state Representative Sam Page |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman William Lacy Clay, Jr. |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman William Todd Akin |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Russ Carnahan |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Ike Skelton |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Emanuel Cleaver, II |
| House 6 | LR | Republican Congressman Samuel B. "Sam" Graves, Jr. |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Roy Blunt |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Jo Ann Emerson |
| House 9 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Representative Judith W. "Judy" Baker vs. Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer |
| Secretary of State | D | Democratic Secretary of State Robin Carnahan |
| Attorney General | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Chris Koster |
| Treasurer | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Clint Zweifel |
| Montana | ||
| President | LR (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Max Baucus |
| Governor | D | Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer |
| House | R | Republican Congressman Dennis R. "Denny" Rehberg |
| Secretary of State | R | Republican Secretary of State Brad Johnson |
| Attorney General | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Steve Bullock |
| Auditor | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Monica J. Lindeen |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Denise Juneau |
| Nebraska | ||
| President | R (5) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican former Governor and U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Michael O. "Mike" Johanns |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jeffrey Lane "Jeff" Fortenberry |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Lee Terry |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Adrian M. Smith |
| Nevada | ||
| President | LD (5) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Shelley Berkley |
| House 2 | LR | Republican Congressman Dean Heller |
| House 3 | LD | Democratic state Senator Dina Titus favored over Republican Congressman Jon C. Porter, Sr. |
| New Hampshire | ||
| President | D (4) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | T | Democratic former Governor Jeanne Shaheen slightly favored over Republican Senator John E. Sununu |
| Governor | D | Democratic Governor John Lynch |
| House 1 | LD | Democratic Congressman Carol Shea-Porter favored over former Republican Congressman Joseph E. "Jeb" Bradley, III |
| House 2 | LD | Democratic Congressman Paul W. Hodes |
| New Jersey | ||
| President | D (15) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Frank R. Lautenberg |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert E. "Rob" Andrews |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Frank A. LoBiondo |
| House 3 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Senator John H. Adler favored over Republican Christopher "Chris" Myers |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Christopher H. "Chris" Smith |
| House 5 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Ernest Scott "Scott" Garrett favored over Democratic Dennis G. Shulman |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Frank Pallone, Jr. |
| House 7 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Assemblywoman Linda D. Stender v. Republican state Senator Leonard Lance |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman William J. "Bill" Pascrell, Jr. |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Steven R. Rothman |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Donald M. Payne |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Rodney P. Frelinghuysen |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Rush D. Holt |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Albio Sires |
| New Mexico | ||
| President | D (5) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Congressman Tom Udall favored over Republican Congressman Stevan E. "Steve" Pearce |
| House 1 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Martin T. Heinrich favored over Republican Darren P. White |
| House 2 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Harry Teague favored over Republican Edward R. "Ed" Tinsley, III |
| House 3 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Public Utilities Commissioner Ben Ray Luján |
| New York | ||
| President | D (31) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Timothy H. "Tim" Bishop |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Steve J. Israel |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Peter T. "Pete" King |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Carolyn McCarthy |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Gary L. Ackerman |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Gregory Weldon Meeks |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Joseph Crowley |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Jerrold Lewis "Jerry" Nadler |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Anthony D. Weiner |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Edolphus "Ed" Towns |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Yvette D. Clarke |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Nydia M. Velazquez |
| House 13 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic New York City Council Member Michael E. "Mike" McMahon |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman Carolyn B. Maloney |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman Charles B. Rangel |
| House 16 | D | Democratic Congressman José E. Serrano |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Eliot L. Engel |
| House 18 | D | Democratic Congressman Nita M. Lowey |
| House 19 | LD | Democratic Congressman John Joseph Hall |
| House 20 | LD | Democratic Congressman Kirsten E. Gillibrand |
| House 21 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic former state Assemblyman Paul David Tonko |
| House 22 | D | Democratic Congressman Maurice D. Hinchey |
| House 23 | R | Republican Congressman John M. McHugh |
| House 24 | LD | Democratic Congressman Michael Angelo "Mike" Arcuri |
| House 25 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Daniel B. "Dan" Maffei |
| House 26 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Christopher J. "Chris" Lee |
| House 27 | D | Democratic Congressman Brian M. Higgins |
| House 28 | D | Democratic Congressman Louise McIntosh Slaughter |
| House 29 | LD | Democratic Eric J. J. Massa favored over Republican Congressman John R. "Randy" Kuhl, Jr. |
| North Carolina | ||
| President | T (15) | **NO INCUMBENT** |
| Senate 2 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic state Senator Kay R. Hagan favored over Republican Senator Elizabeth H. Dole |
| Governor | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Lieutenant Governor Beverly Eaves "Bev" Perdue |
| Lieutenant Governor | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Senator Walter H. Dalton |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman G. K. Butterfield |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Bob Etheridge |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Walter B. Jones, Jr. |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman David E. Price |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Virginia Foxx |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman John Howard "Howard" Coble |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Mike McIntyre |
| House 8 | LD | Democratic Lawrence Webb "Larry" Kissell favored over Republican Congressman Robert Cannon "Robin" Hayes |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Suellen "Sue" Myrick |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Patrick Timothy McHenry |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Joseph Heath "Heath" Shuler |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Melvin L. "Mel" Watt |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Ralph Bradley "Brad" Miller |
| Secretary of State | D | Democratic Secretary of State Elaine F. Marshall |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Janet Cowell |
| Auditor | R | Republican Auditor Leslie W. "Les" Merritt, Jr. |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | R | Republican Agriculture Commissioner Steven W. "Steve" Troxler |
| Commissioner of Insurance | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Wayne Goodwin |
| Commissioner of Labor | R | Republican Labor Commissioner Cherie Killian Berry |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | D | Democratic Public Instruction Superintendent June St. Clair Atkinson |
| North Dakota | ||
| President | LR (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Governor | R | Republican Governor John Hoeven |
| House | D | Democratic Congressman Earl Ralph Pomeroy |
| Treasurer | R | Republican Treasurer Kelly L. Schmidt |
| Auditor | R | Republican Auditor Robert R. "Bob" Peterson |
| Commissioner of Insurance | R | Republican Insurance Commissioner Adam Hamm |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | N | Nonpartisan Public Instruction Superintendent Wayne G. Sanstead |
| Public Service Commissioner 3 | N | **NO INCUMBENT** (no polling information available) |
| Northern Marianas | ||
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Representative Pedro Agulto "Pete" Tenorio |
| Ohio | ||
| President | T (20) | **NO INCUMBENT** |
| House 1 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Steven J. "Steve" Chabot |
| House 2 | LR | Republican Congressman Jeannette H. "Jean" Schmidt |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Michael R. "Mike" Turner |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman James D. "Jim" Jordan |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Robert E. "Bob" Latta |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Charles A. "Charlie" Wilson, Jr. |
| House 7 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican state Senator Steve Austria |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman John A. Boehner |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Marcy Kaptur |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Dennis J. Kucinich |
| House 11 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Warrensville Heights Mayor Marcia L. Fudge |
| House 12 | R | Republican Congressman Patrick J. "Pat" Tiberi |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Betty Sue Sutton |
| House 14 | R | Republican Congressman Steven C. "Steve" LaTourette |
| House 15 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy favored over Republican state Senator Steve Stivers |
| House 16 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Senator John A. Boccieri favored over Republican state Senator J. Kirk Schuring slightly |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Timothy J. "Tim" Ryan |
| House 18 | LD | Democratic Congressman Zachary T. "Zach" Space |
| Attorney General | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Treasurer Richard "Rich" Cordray |
| Oklahoma | ||
| President | R (7) | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator James M. "Jim" Inhofe |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman John Sullivan |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman David Daniel "Dan" Boren |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Frank D. Lucas |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Tom Cole |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Mary C. Fallin |
| Corporation Commissioner 1 | LR | Republican Dana Murphy |
| Corporation Commissioner 3 | LR | Republican Corporation Commissioner Jeff Cloud |
| Oregon | ||
| President | D (7) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic state Speaker of the House Jeffrey Alan "Jeff" Merkley favored over Republican Senator Gordon Harold Smith |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman David Wu |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Gregory Paul "Greg" Walden |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Earl Blumenauer |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Peter Anthony "Pete" DeFazio |
| House 5 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Senator Kurt Schrader |
| Secretary of State | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic state Senate Majority Leader Kate Brown |
| Attorney General | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic John R. Kroger |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Ben Westlund |
| Pennsylvania | ||
| President | D (21) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert A. Brady |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Chaka Fattah |
| House 3 | LD | Democratic Kathleen Ann "Kathy" Dahlkemper favored over Republican Congressman Philip S. "Phil" English |
| House 4 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Jason Altmire |
| House 5 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Glenn W. "G.T." Thompson |
| House 6 | LR | Republican Congressman Jim Gerlach |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Joseph A. "Joe" Sestak, Jr. |
| House 8 | LD | Democratic Congressman Patrick J. Murphy |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman William Franklin "Bill" Shuster |
| House 10 | LD | Democratic Congressman Christopher P. "Chris" Carney |
| House 11 | LD | Democratic Congressman Paul E. Kanjorski |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman John P. Murtha |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Allyson Y. Schwartz |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman Mike Doyle |
| House 15 | LR | Republican Congressman Charles W. "Charlie" Dent |
| House 16 | R | Republican Congressman Joseph R. "Joe" Pitts |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman T. Timothy "Tim" Holden |
| House 18 | LR | Republican Congressman Tim Murphy |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman Todd R. Platts |
| Attorney General | R | Republican Attorney General Tom Corbett |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Robert "Rob" McCord |
| Auditor General | D | Democratic Auditor General Jack Wagner |
| Puerto Rico | ||
| Governor | T | Partido Nuevo Progresista Resident Commissioner Luis G. Fortuño slightly favored over Partido Popular Democrático Governor Aníbal Acevedo-Vilá |
| Resident Commissioner to the House of Representatives | PPD | **NO INCUMBENT** Partido Popular Democrático Alfredo Salazar |
| Rhode Island | ||
| President | D (4) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator John F. "Jack" Reed |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Patrick J. Kennedy |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman James R. Langevin |
| South Carolina | ||
| President | R (8) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator Lindsey Olin Graham |
| House 1 | LR | Republican Congressman Henry E. Brown, Jr. |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Addison Graves "Joe" Wilson |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman James Gresham "Gresham" Barrett |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Robert D. "Bob" Inglis |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman John McKee Spratt, Jr. |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman James E. "Jim" Clyburn |
| South Dakota | ||
| President | R (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator Tim Johnson |
| House | D | Democratic Congressman Stephanie M. Herseth Sandlin |
| Tennessee | ||
| President | R (11) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator Lamar Alexander |
| House 1 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican David Philip Roe |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman John J. Duncan, Jr. |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Zach Wamp |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Lincoln Edward Davis |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman James H. S. "Jim" Cooper |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Barton Jennings "Bart" Gordon |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Marsha Blackburn |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman John S. Tanner |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Stephen Ira "Steve" Cohen |
| Texas | ||
| President | R (34) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator John Cornyn |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Louis B. "Louie" Gohmert |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Lloyd "Ted" Poe |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Samuel Robert "Sam" Johnson |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Ralph Moody Hall |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Jeb Hensarling |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Joe Linus Barton |
| House 7 | LR | Republican Congressman John Culberson |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Kevin Patrick Brady |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Alexander "Al" Green |
| House 10 | LR | Republican Congressman Michael T. McCaul |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman K. Michael "Mike" Conaway |
| House 12 | R | Republican Congressman Kay N. Granger |
| House 13 | R | Republican Congressman Mac Thornberry |
| House 14 | R | Republican Congressman Ronald E. "Ron" Paul |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman Rubén E. Hinojosa |
| House 16 | D | Democratic Congressman Silvestre Reyes |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Chet Edwards |
| House 18 | D | Democratic Congressman Sheila Jackson Lee |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman Randy Neugebauer |
| House 20 | D | Democratic Congressman Charles A. Gonzalez |
| House 21 | R | Republican Congressman Lamar Smith |
| House 22 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Peter Graham "Pete" Olson favored over Democratic Congressman Nicholas V. "Nick" Lampson |
| House 23 | LD | Democratic Congressman Ciro D. Rodriguez |
| House 24 | R | Republican Congressman Kenny Ewell Marchant |
| House 25 | D | Democratic Congressman Lloyd A. Doggett |
| House 26 | R | Republican Congressman Michael C. Burgess |
| House 27 | D | Democratic Congressman Solomon P. Ortiz |
| House 28 | D | Democratic Congressman Henry R. Cuellar |
| House 29 | D | Democratic Congressman Raymond E. "Gene" Green |
| House 30 | D | Democratic Congressman Eddie Bernice Johnson |
| House 31 | R | Republican Congressman John Rice Carter |
| House 32 | R | Republican Congressman Pete Sessions |
| Railroad Commissioner 3 | R | Republican Railroad Commissioner Michael L. Williams |
| Utah | ||
| President | R (5) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Governor | R | Republican Governor Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Robert William "Rob" Bishop |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman James David "Jim" Matheson |
| House 3 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Jason Chaffetz |
| Attorney General | R | Republican Attorney General Mark L. Shurtleff |
| Treasurer | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Richard K. Ellis |
| Auditor | R | Republican Auditor Auston G. Johnson, III |
| Vermont | ||
| President | D (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Governor | R | Republican Governor James H. "Jim" Douglas |
| Lieutenant Governor | R | Republican Lieutenant Governor Brian E. Dubie |
| House | D | Democratic Congressman Peter F. Welch |
| Secretary of State | D | Democratic Secretary of State Deborah L. "Deb" Markowitz |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General William H. "Bill" Sorrell |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Treasurer Jeb Spaulding |
| Auditor of Accounts | D | Democratic Auditor of Accounts Thomas M. Salmon |
| Virgin Islands | ||
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Territorial Delegate Donna M. Christensen |
| Virginia | ||
| President | T (13) | **NO INCUMBENT** |
| Senate 2 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic former Governor Mark Robert Warner |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Robert J. "Rob" Wittman |
| House 2 | LR | Republican Congressman Thelma Day Drake |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert C. "Bobby" Scott |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman J. Randy Forbes |
| House 5 | LR | Republican Congressman Virgil H. Goode, Jr. |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Robert W. "Bob" Goodlatte |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Eric I. Cantor |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman James P. "Jim" Moran, Jr. |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Frederick C. "Rick" Boucher |
| House 10 | LR | Republican Congressman Frank R. Wolf |
| House 11 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Fairfax County Board of Supervisors Chairman Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly favored over Republican Keith S. Fimian |
| Washington | ||
| President | D (11) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| Governor | LD | Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire favored over Republican Dino Rossi |
| Lieutenant Governor | D | Democratic Lieutenant Governor Brad Owen |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Jay R. Inslee |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Rick R. Larsen |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Brian N. Baird |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Doc Hastings |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Cathy Ann McMorris Rodgers |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Norman D. "Norm" Dicks |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman James A. "Jim" McDermott |
| House 8 | LD | Democratic Darcy Burner favored over Republican Congressman Dave Reichert |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Adam Smith |
| Secretary of State | R | Republican Secretary of State Sam Reed |
| Attorney General | R | Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Jim McIntire |
| Auditor | D | Democratic Auditor Brian Sonntag |
| Commissioner of Public Lands | R | Republican Public Lands Commissioner Doug Sutherland |
| Insurance Commissioner | D | Democratic Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | N | Nonpartisan Public Instruction Superintendent Teresa "Terry" Bergeson |
| West Virginia | ||
| President | R (5) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 2 | D | Democratic Senator John Davison "Jay" Rockefeller, IV |
| Governor | D | Democratic Governor Joe Manchin, III |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Alan Bowlby Mollohan |
| House 2 | LR | Republican Congressman Shelley Moore Capito |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Nick Joe Joe Rahall, II |
| Secretary of State | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Natalie Tennant |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General Darrell V. McGraw, Jr. |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Treasurer John D. Perdue |
| Auditor | D | Democratic Auditor Glen B. Gainer, III |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Agriculture Commissioner Gus R. Douglass |
| Wisconsin | ||
| President | LD (10) | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Senator Barack Hussein Obama |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Paul D. Ryan |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Tammy Baldwin |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Ron Kind |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Gwendolynne "Gwen" Moore |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman F. James "Jim" Sensenbrenner, Jr. |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Thomas E. "Tom" Petri |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman David R. Obey |
| House 8 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Steven Leslie "Steve" Kagen |
| Wyoming | ||
| President | R (3) | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Senator John Sidney McCain, III |
| Senate 1 | R | Republican Senator John A. Barrasso |
| Senate 2 | R | Republican Senator Michael B. "Mike" Enzi |
| House | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican former state Treasurer Cynthia Marie Lummis |