The Green Papers
Presidential Primaries 2020
Democratic Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary

Disclaimer:
These pages contain a combination of official, unofficial, and estimated data. The information posted here is subject to change.

The delegate selection processes herein, along with any and all dates and delegate counts associated therewith, are unofficial and based on either (1) information obtained from either Major Party, (2) Presidential Primary dates established by currently-effective State statute, or- where the foregoing information could not be obtained- (3) the state's 2016 delegate selection process and associated dates adjusted to the corresponding dates in 2020.

Democrats

  • Democratic pledged delegate counts are determined by the jurisdiction's Presidential vote in 2008, 2012, and 2016; along with the jurisdiction's electoral vote allocation based on 2010 census for the number of electors in 2020.
  • Democratic unpledged delegate counts are determined by the number of DNC Members, Democratic Governors, Democratic U.S. House members, and Democratic U.S. Senators serving at the time of the convention. The count for DNC Members, Distinguished Party Leaders is from the 2016 Convention. The tallies of Governors, Democratic U.S. House members, and Democratic U.S. Senators are the current officeholders.
  • Democratic Bonus Delegates and penalties are not included in these delegate tallies.

Republicans

  • Republican delegate counts are based on the number of Republicans elected to the State Legislatures, Governors chairs, U.S. House seats, and U.S. Senators seats through 31 December 2019. Republican unpledged delegate counts are determined by state (or equivalent) party rules. We have assumed that the policies of 2016 will apply in 2020.
  • The Republican district delegate count is based on the number of U.S. House members each state will elect in 2020.
  • Republican penalties for violating the timing window are not included in these delegate tallies.

 
Democratic Party Democratic
Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary
Sorted by first date

 
4,535 total delegate votes - 2,437 district / 842 at large; 490 Pledged PLEOs; 766 Unpledged PLEOs
Pledged/Unpledged delegate votes: 3,769 pledged, 766 unpledged.
Need to nominate (first ballot, pledged delegate votes only): 1,885.
Need to nominate (any ballot, all delegate votes): 2,268.
Rank (sort)
Date
(sort)
State
(available) Allocation
(sort)
Hard
4,535
(sort)
Soft
4,535
(sort)
Pl
(sort)
Unpl
(sort)
Total
193 FebIowa494941849
3311 FebNew Hampshire333324933
3222 FebNevada4848361248
4629 FebSouth Carolina636354963
13 MarAlabama616152961
33 MarAmerican Samoa11116511
53 MarArkansas363631536
63 MarCalifornia49549541679495
73 MarColorado8080671380
103 MarDemocrats Abroad171713417
233 MarMaine323224832
253 MarMassachusetts1141149123114
273 MarMinnesota9292751792
373 MarNorth Carolina12212211012122
413 MarOklahoma424237542
483 MarTennessee737364973
493 MarTexas26226222834262
513 MarUtah353529635
523 MarVermont232316723
543 MarVirginia1241249925124
1610 MarIdaho252520525
2610 MarMichigan14714712522147
2810 MarMississippi414136541
2910 MarMissouri7878681078
3810 MarNorth Dakota181814418
5510 MarWashington1071078918107
3914 MarNorthern Marianas11116511
417 MarArizona7878671178
1217 MarFlorida24824821929248
1717 MarIllinois18418415529184
4017 MarOhio15315313617153
1324 MarGeorgia12012010515120
4429 MarPuerto Rico595951859
24 AprAlaska181814418
154 AprHawaii313122931
224 AprLouisiana575750757
584 AprWyoming171713417
577 AprWisconsin9090771390
828 AprConnecticut6464491564
928 AprDelaware2828171128
2428 AprMaryland1021027923102
3628 AprNew York27027022446270
4328 AprPennsylvania17717715324177
4528 AprRhode Island303021930
142 MayGuam11116511
202 MayKansas393933639
185 MayIndiana777770777
3112 MayNebraska292925429
5612 MayWest Virginia303024630
2119 MayKentucky525246652
4219 MayOregon6666521466
112 JunDistrict of Columbia4343172643
302 JunMontana222216622
342 JunNew Jersey12812810721128
352 JunNew Mexico4040291140
472 JunSouth Dakota191914519
536 JunVirgin Islands13137613
50JulUnassigned11 11
Convention4,5354,5353,7697664,535
Rank Date State HardSoft PlUnplTotal
(available) Allocation
 

Soft: Soft count, estimated delegate preferences prior to the convention.
Hard: Hard count, the preference as originally assigned. (Note: unpledged delegates are hard counted as "Uncommitted".)
Pl: Pledged or Bound Delegates.
Unpl: Unpledged or Not Bound Delegates

 
 


  Election 2020 - Presidential Primary, Caucus, and Convention Home  
 
  Presidential Candidates  
 
  States Alphabetically  
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  Major Events Chronologically  
  Poll Closing Times Chronologically   --   Poll Closing Times Alphabetically  
  Democratic "First Determining Step" Chronologically  
 
  Chronological Cumulative Allocation of Delegates  
  Weekly Delegate Distribution and Availability  
 
Delegate Counts
  Democratic Hard and Soft Summary   --   Republican Hard and Soft Summary  
 
Delegate Allocation
  Democratic Quick Reference   --   Republican Quick Reference  
  The Math Behind the Democratic Delegate Allocation   --   The Math Behind the Republican Delegate Allocation  
  Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses  
 
  Democratic Delegate Pledging and Voter Eligibility   --   Republican Delegate Binding and Voter Eligibility  
 
  Primaries at a Glance  
 
  Results Status and Date Retreived  
 
Documentation
  Historical Analysis of the Presidential Nominating Process  
  Historical Analysis of the apportionment of delegate votes at the National Conventions of the two major parties  
  Primary/Caucus/Convention Glossary  
  Statutory Election Information of the Several states / Presidential Primary  
  Dates of PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES re: selection and/or allocation/distribution of Delegates to Major Party National Conventions  
 
  Straw Polls  
 
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